Model line
Toledo −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Toledo 86%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Toledo home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Toledo a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Eastern Michigan offense vs Toledo defense
| Eastern Michigan O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#176 | Tempo | #11769.5 |
| 49.6#256 | eFG% | #30954.3 |
| 17.4#226 | TOV% | #10617.9 |
| 27.8#273 | ORB% | #31433.7 |
| 29.3#325 | FT rate | #1826.6 |
| 9.7#207 | Block% | #2747.8 |
| 47.9#289 | Assist% | #13950.8 |
| 50.0#251 | 2P% | #33156.1 |
| 32.4#259 | 3P% | #21434.4 |
| 73.2#163 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#331 | 3PA rate | #16240.0 |
Toledo offense vs Eastern Michigan defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Eastern Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#117 | Tempo | #17668.4 |
| 54.5#53 | eFG% | #11650.3 |
| 14.7#53 | TOV% | #24515.6 |
| 29.5#221 | ORB% | #10929.1 |
| 30.5#298 | FT rate | #19535.5 |
| 8.5#105 | Block% | #9410.9 |
| 53.1#164 | Assist% | #15051.3 |
| 54.0#86 | 2P% | #12850.8 |
| 37.0#29 | 3P% | #11232.9 |
| 75.4#69 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#324 | 3PA rate | #30235.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Eastern Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Bowling Green192 | L 69–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Buffalo191 | L 67–72 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Miami OH108 | L 64–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Toledo144 | L 75–94 |
| Tue, Feb 17 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 66–54 |
Toledo
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron100 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts166 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green192 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo191 | W 99–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Miami OH108 | L 72–74 |
