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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Western Michigan · #173 · MAC · 0–0Massachusetts · #166 · MAC · 0–0Wed, Dec 9 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+Mullins Center · Amherst, MA
Model line
Massachusetts −7.9
Win probability
Massachusetts 80%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
20%Win probability80%

The model makes Massachusetts a 7.9-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Western Michigan offense vs Massachusetts defense

Western Michigan OStatMassachusetts D
69.0#150Tempo#4571.2
49.9#242eFG%#26452.9
16.9#197TOV%#16616.8
30.5#182ORB%#1926.1
32.8#243FT rate#34844.6
11.9#339Block%#3216.7
48.1#285Assist%#32958.6
48.1#3082P%#31655.4
35.3#1033P%#12033.0
74.4#109FT%—
36.1#2483PA rate#7842.7

Massachusetts offense vs Western Michigan defense

Massachusetts OStatWestern Michigan D
71.2#45Tempo#15069.0
53.1#98eFG%#31354.4
17.8#259TOV%#34713.4
33.3#83ORB%#11829.1
37.0#130FT rate#25137.5
7.6#35Block%#2887.6
58.4#52Assist%#22253.9
53.2#1212P%#30054.5
35.2#1053P%#30836.1
67.3#339FT%—
35.4#2643PA rate#5243.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Western Michigan

Fri, Mar 6AKent St.126L 78–86
Tue, Mar 3HBall St.220L 71–74
Fri, Feb 27HMiami OH108L 67–69
Tue, Feb 24ABowling Green192W 88–79
Sat, Feb 21ACentral Michigan272L 70–83

Massachusetts

Fri, Mar 13NToledo144L 67–77
Thu, Mar 12NMiami OH108W 87–83
Tue, Mar 3HOhio167W 94–82
Sat, Feb 28ABowling Green192L 62–81
Tue, Feb 24ABall St.220L 73–74