Model line
Central Michigan −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Michigan 61%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Central Michigan home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Central Michigan a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio offense vs Central Michigan defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Central Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #18268.3 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #30054.0 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #15217.0 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #32234.3 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #28439.0 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #6111.6 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #31357.9 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #28954.4 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #28035.5 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #21638.4 |
Central Michigan offense vs Ohio defense
| Central Michigan O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#182 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 51.8#153 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 18.1#274 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 29.2#228 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 31.4#271 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 8.8#132 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 54.9#116 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 52.2#161 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 33.9#178 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 69.7#278 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#294 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
Central Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ball St.220 | L 69–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Akron100 | L 64–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Buffalo191 | W 75–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Kent St.126 | L 81–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 83–70 |
