Model line
Buffalo −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 57%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
43%Win probability57%
The model makes Buffalo a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Miami OH offense vs Buffalo defense
| Miami OH O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#57 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 58.6#7 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 14.3#32 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 25.5#331 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 39.6#65 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 7.7#38 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 51.4#208 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 61.0#4 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 37.1#26 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 74.9#85 | FT% | — |
| 45.6#55 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Miami OH defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Miami OH D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #5770.9 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #16951.2 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #12517.4 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #9228.7 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #6430.2 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #2628.0 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #5047.2 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #19352.0 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #12733.1 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #27736.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Miami OH
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee11 | L 56–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | SMU59 | W 89–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Massachusetts166 | L 83–87 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ohio167 | W 110–108 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Toledo144 | W 74–72 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
