Model line
Toledo −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Toledo 72%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Toledo home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Toledo a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kent St. offense vs Toledo defense
| Kent St. O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#24 | Tempo | #11769.5 |
| 51.4#179 | eFG% | #30954.3 |
| 18.0#269 | TOV% | #10617.9 |
| 35.3#40 | ORB% | #31433.7 |
| 43.5#14 | FT rate | #1826.6 |
| 9.6#199 | Block% | #2747.8 |
| 57.1#71 | Assist% | #13950.8 |
| 50.6#229 | 2P% | #33156.1 |
| 35.0#115 | 3P% | #21434.4 |
| 74.4#106 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#70 | 3PA rate | #16240.0 |
Toledo offense vs Kent St. defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Kent St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#117 | Tempo | #2472.0 |
| 54.5#53 | eFG% | #21952.1 |
| 14.7#53 | TOV% | #21916.1 |
| 29.5#221 | ORB% | #12529.3 |
| 30.5#298 | FT rate | #29439.5 |
| 8.5#105 | Block% | #1729.4 |
| 53.1#164 | Assist% | #25555.1 |
| 54.0#86 | 2P% | #18351.8 |
| 37.0#29 | 3P% | #24535.0 |
| 75.4#69 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#324 | 3PA rate | #6743.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kent St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 58–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Akron100 | L 68–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio167 | W 86–75 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 86–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 102–76 |
Toledo
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron100 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts166 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green192 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo191 | W 99–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Miami OH108 | L 72–74 |
