Model line
Akron −16.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Akron 96%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Akron home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Akron a 16.6-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ball St. offense vs Akron defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Akron D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #5271.0 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #16551.2 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #8218.3 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #15229.9 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #7030.4 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #2248.5 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #14250.9 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #8449.6 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #27635.5 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #6643.1 |
Akron offense vs Ball St. defense
| Akron O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#52 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 58.2#9 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 15.5#103 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 33.4#80 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 29.2#327 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 8.4#88 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 57.1#70 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 58.8#14 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 38.2#16 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 75.4#67 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#72 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
Akron
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Texas Tech12 | L 71–91 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Toledo144 | W 79–76 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kent St.126 | W 75–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Buffalo191 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Northern Illinois278 | W 94–55 |
