Model line
Bowling Green −16.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Bowling Green 96%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Bowling Green home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Bowling Green a 16.8-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Gardner Webb offense vs Bowling Green defense
| Gardner Webb O | Stat | Bowling Green D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#60 | Tempo | #8470.2 |
| 47.8#316 | eFG% | #15651.0 |
| 19.8#344 | TOV% | #7718.4 |
| 23.2#349 | ORB% | #3526.9 |
| 30.3#303 | FT rate | #24337.2 |
| 10.4#266 | Block% | #10510.6 |
| 41.0#357 | Assist% | #16551.8 |
| 48.6#294 | 2P% | #17151.6 |
| 31.0#320 | 3P% | #15133.5 |
| 68.5#310 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#173 | 3PA rate | #11841.2 |
Bowling Green offense vs Gardner Webb defense
| Bowling Green O | Stat | Gardner Webb D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#84 | Tempo | #6070.8 |
| 51.8#152 | eFG% | #35556.9 |
| 16.5#162 | TOV% | #26315.3 |
| 28.7#242 | ORB% | #35636.6 |
| 37.0#129 | FT rate | #18435.2 |
| 9.8#218 | Block% | #3246.6 |
| 48.5#275 | Assist% | #26155.3 |
| 51.9#169 | 2P% | #36059.0 |
| 34.4#153 | 3P% | #30136.0 |
| 72.3#194 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#289 | 3PA rate | #12741.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Gardner Webb
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | High Point61 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | USC Upstate343 | W 65–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | USC Upstate343 | L 61–71 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Asheville291 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Radford255 | L 70–82 |
Bowling Green
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Toledo144 | L 76–77 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Eastern Michigan176 | W 77–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 81–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Western Michigan173 | L 79–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Miami OH108 | L 77–91 |
