Model line
Notre Dame −24.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 100%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
1%Win probability100%
The model makes Notre Dame a 24.4-point favorite, winning about 100 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Michigan offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Central Michigan O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#182 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 51.8#153 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 18.1#274 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 29.2#228 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 31.4#271 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 8.8#132 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 54.9#116 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 52.2#161 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 33.9#178 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 69.7#278 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#294 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs Central Michigan defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Central Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #18268.3 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #30054.0 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #15217.0 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #32234.3 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #28439.0 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #6111.6 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #31357.9 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #28954.4 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #28035.5 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #21638.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ball St.220 | L 69–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Akron100 | L 64–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Buffalo191 | W 75–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Kent St.126 | L 81–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 83–70 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
