Model line
Massachusetts −17.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Massachusetts 97%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Massachusetts a 17.7-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Maine offense vs Massachusetts defense
| Maine O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#333 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 49.6#258 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 19.1#326 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 19.7#364 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 38.4#92 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 9.0#144 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 54.4#129 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 51.2#205 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 31.2#315 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 64.3#363 | FT% | — |
| 37.0#230 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Massachusetts offense vs Maine defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | Maine D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #33364.9 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #13550.6 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #3619.4 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #32334.3 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #14933.9 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #1899.1 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #17752.4 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #29554.5 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #429.3 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #26836.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Maine
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NJIT336 | L 58–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UMass Lowell306 | L 56–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Binghamton349 | L 67–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Albany330 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | New Hampshire342 | W 61–58 |
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
