Model line
Bowling Green −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Bowling Green 88%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Bowling Green home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Bowling Green a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Illinois offense vs Bowling Green defense
| Northern Illinois O | Stat | Bowling Green D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#147 | Tempo | #8470.2 |
| 47.6#321 | eFG% | #15651.0 |
| 21.8#360 | TOV% | #7718.4 |
| 30.3#189 | ORB% | #3526.9 |
| 38.3#95 | FT rate | #24337.2 |
| 14.5#365 | Block% | #10510.6 |
| 51.8#195 | Assist% | #16551.8 |
| 48.5#298 | 2P% | #17151.6 |
| 30.9#322 | 3P% | #15133.5 |
| 65.7#355 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#66 | 3PA rate | #11841.2 |
Bowling Green offense vs Northern Illinois defense
| Bowling Green O | Stat | Northern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#84 | Tempo | #14769.0 |
| 51.8#152 | eFG% | #34255.6 |
| 16.5#162 | TOV% | #20216.3 |
| 28.7#242 | ORB% | #15930.0 |
| 37.0#129 | FT rate | #26838.3 |
| 9.8#218 | Block% | #3525.3 |
| 48.5#275 | Assist% | #22153.9 |
| 51.9#169 | 2P% | #33556.3 |
| 34.4#153 | 3P% | #31936.3 |
| 72.3#194 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#289 | 3PA rate | #24537.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Illinois
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 87–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Akron100 | L 55–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Kent St.126 | L 76–102 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Ball St.220 | L 43–79 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Toledo144 | L 69–79 |
Bowling Green
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Toledo144 | L 76–77 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Eastern Michigan176 | W 77–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 81–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Western Michigan173 | L 79–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Miami OH108 | L 77–91 |
