Model line
St. Bonaventure −9.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Bonaventure 84%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
St. Bonaventure home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes St. Bonaventure a 9.4-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Buffalo offense vs St. Bonaventure defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | St. Bonaventure D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #22467.5 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #27753.3 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #14717.1 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #15029.8 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #15033.9 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #2513.1 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #27855.9 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #22952.8 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #30636.0 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #13740.7 |
St. Bonaventure offense vs Buffalo defense
| St. Bonaventure O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#224 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 52.4#129 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 16.8#187 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 34.5#60 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 30.0#311 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 8.0#59 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 55.2#111 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 50.8#221 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 37.4#22 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 74.7#96 | FT% | — |
| 31.3#335 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
St. Bonaventure
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Dayton67 | L 63–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | George Mason98 | W 63–57 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | La Salle168 | W 99–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Davidson121 | L 63–68 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | George Washington103 | L 82–91 |
