Model line
Dayton −25.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton >99%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Dayton home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Dayton a 25.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Michigan offense vs Dayton defense
| Central Michigan O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#182 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 51.8#153 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 18.1#274 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 29.2#228 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 31.4#271 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 8.8#132 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 54.9#116 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 52.2#161 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 33.9#178 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 69.7#278 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#294 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs Central Michigan defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Central Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #18268.3 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #30054.0 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #15217.0 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #32234.3 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #28439.0 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #6111.6 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #31357.9 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #28954.4 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #28035.5 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #21638.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ball St.220 | L 69–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Akron100 | L 64–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Buffalo191 | W 75–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Kent St.126 | L 81–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 83–70 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
