Model line
Buffalo −14.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 94%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Buffalo a 14.5-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Canisius offense vs Buffalo defense
| Canisius O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3#349 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 46.3#348 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 19.6#340 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 29.3#224 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 31.4#270 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 9.7#206 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 55.4#103 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 44.0#359 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 33.3#207 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 71.9#210 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#181 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Canisius defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Canisius D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #34964.3 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #22452.2 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #22316.0 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #14729.8 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #18335.2 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #2258.5 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #29356.5 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #28554.3 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #11833.0 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #4544.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Canisius
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Quinnipiac249 | L 63–67 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Merrimack211 | W 67–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–68 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Rider355 | W 72–66 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Manhattan331 | L 65–69 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
