Model line
Northern Kentucky −9.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Kentucky 85%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Northern Kentucky home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Northern Kentucky a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Michigan offense vs Northern Kentucky defense
| Central Michigan O | Stat | Northern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#182 | Tempo | #5870.9 |
| 51.8#153 | eFG% | #30454.2 |
| 18.1#274 | TOV% | #6718.6 |
| 29.2#228 | ORB% | #23331.6 |
| 31.4#271 | FT rate | #24537.2 |
| 8.8#132 | Block% | #1529.8 |
| 54.9#116 | Assist% | #18852.6 |
| 52.2#161 | 2P% | #26953.8 |
| 33.9#178 | 3P% | #33436.6 |
| 69.7#278 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#294 | 3PA rate | #22938.1 |
Northern Kentucky offense vs Central Michigan defense
| Northern Kentucky O | Stat | Central Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#58 | Tempo | #18268.3 |
| 53.2#95 | eFG% | #30054.0 |
| 16.3#156 | TOV% | #15217.0 |
| 32.2#118 | ORB% | #32234.3 |
| 35.9#157 | FT rate | #28439.0 |
| 7.7#40 | Block% | #6111.6 |
| 55.5#101 | Assist% | #31357.9 |
| 55.5#50 | 2P% | #28954.4 |
| 33.6#192 | 3P% | #28035.5 |
| 72.1#206 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#71 | 3PA rate | #21638.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ball St.220 | L 69–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Akron100 | L 64–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Buffalo191 | W 75–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Kent St.126 | L 81–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 83–70 |
Northern Kentucky
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Wright St.150 | L 90–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Green Bay210 | W 96–76 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Oakland208 | W 85–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wright St.150 | L 91–92 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 81–70 |
