Model line
Bowling Green −12.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Bowling Green 90%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Bowling Green home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Bowling Green a 12.2-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Niagara offense vs Bowling Green defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Bowling Green D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #8470.2 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #15651.0 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #7718.4 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #3526.9 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #24337.2 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #10510.6 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #16551.8 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #17151.6 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #15133.5 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #11841.2 |
Bowling Green offense vs Niagara defense
| Bowling Green O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#84 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 51.8#152 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 16.5#162 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 28.7#242 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 37.0#129 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 9.8#218 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 48.5#275 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 51.9#169 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 34.4#153 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 72.3#194 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#289 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
Bowling Green
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Toledo144 | L 76–77 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Eastern Michigan176 | W 77–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 81–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Western Michigan173 | L 79–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Miami OH108 | L 77–91 |
