Model line
Massachusetts −14.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Massachusetts 94%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Massachusetts a 14.5-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UMass Lowell offense vs Massachusetts defense
| UMass Lowell O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#155 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 49.8#248 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 18.0#272 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 32.7#99 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 34.9#186 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 10.4#269 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 45.4#330 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 50.5#241 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 32.2#273 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 65.7#356 | FT% | — |
| 31.3#336 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Massachusetts offense vs UMass Lowell defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | UMass Lowell D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #15568.9 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #28553.5 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #32914.2 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #12929.4 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #3428.3 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #2877.6 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #5747.5 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #29454.4 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #22734.6 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #32035.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UMass Lowell
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | UMBC285 | L 69–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Albany330 | W 81–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Maine337 | W 67–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UMBC285 | L 60–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Vermont189 | L 64–66 |
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
