Model line
Ball St. −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ball St. 78%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Ball St. home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Ball St. a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana St. offense vs Ball St. defense
| Indiana St. O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#185 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 52.8#108 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 19.5#338 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 26.2#315 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 27.4#348 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 13.4#359 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 64.9#8 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 57.4#27 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 31.5#305 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 67.8#329 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#63 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Ball St. offense vs Indiana St. defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Indiana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #18568.3 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #11050.2 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #29514.9 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #24431.8 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #3928.8 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #2528.1 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #1043.0 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #19252.0 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #4031.3 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #32934.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Valparaiso142 | L 62–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 79–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Southern Illinois172 | L 55–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Belmont130 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 60–81 |
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
