Model line
Georgia Southern −1.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Georgia Southern 55%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Georgia Southern home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Georgia Southern a 1.2-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ball St. offense vs Georgia Southern defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Georgia Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #4771.1 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #23052.3 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #6318.7 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #34235.2 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #31641.4 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #1449.9 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #3946.4 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #23252.9 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #19934.3 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #17939.5 |
Georgia Southern offense vs Ball St. defense
| Georgia Southern O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#47 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 51.4#176 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 14.6#46 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 28.8#239 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 39.6#64 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 9.2#157 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 41.1#356 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 52.7#140 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 33.4#201 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 74.3#111 | FT% | — |
| 48.9#20 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
Georgia Southern
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Troy152 | L 61–77 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marshall241 | W 82–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Coastal Carolina240 | W 96–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | South Alabama244 | W 94–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Arkansas St.186 | W 80–77 |
