Model line
Troy −8.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 80%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Troy home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Troy a 8.0-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Massachusetts offense vs Troy defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Troy offense vs Massachusetts defense
| Troy O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
