Model line
Marshall −4.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marshall 66%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Marshall home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Marshall a 4.0-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Buffalo offense vs Marshall defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Marshall D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #6570.7 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #11750.3 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #20116.3 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #31533.8 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #31341.1 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #2413.1 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #3146.0 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #11150.3 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #16133.6 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #17739.6 |
Marshall offense vs Buffalo defense
| Marshall O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#65 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 54.8#48 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 16.6#170 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 31.9#128 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 29.2#329 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 8.1#65 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 56.5#79 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 54.6#69 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 36.8#33 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 73.0#168 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#84 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
Marshall
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 78–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Georgia Southern307 | L 82–99 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Old Dominion218 | W 97–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Coastal Carolina240 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Appalachian St.234 | W 94–93 |
