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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Bowling Green · #192 · MAC · 0–0Georgia St. · #205 · SB · 0–0Mon, Nov 2 · 6:00 PM ETESPN+GSU Convocation Center · Atlanta, GA
Model line
Georgia St. −5.9
Win probability
Georgia St. 73%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Georgia St. home
27%Win probability73%

The model makes Georgia St. a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Bowling Green offense vs Georgia St. defense

Bowling Green OStatGeorgia St. D
70.2#84Tempo#15868.8
51.8#152eFG%#13350.6
16.5#162TOV%#19416.4
28.7#242ORB%#30833.6
37.0#129FT rate#17634.9
9.8#218Block%#2438.3
48.5#275Assist%#15551.4
51.9#1692P%#15351.2
34.4#1533P%#12333.1
72.3#194FT%—
34.2#2893PA rate#19939.0

Georgia St. offense vs Bowling Green defense

Georgia St. OStatBowling Green D
68.8#158Tempo#8470.2
44.2#362eFG%#15651.0
15.9#131TOV%#7718.4
27.7#278ORB%#3526.9
37.2#123FT rate#24337.2
8.7#121Block%#10510.6
50.6#228Assist%#16551.8
42.9#3652P%#17151.6
30.6#3313P%#15133.5
78.6#11FT%—
42.4#1293PA rate#11841.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Bowling Green

Thu, Mar 12NToledo144L 76–77
Fri, Mar 6AEastern Michigan176W 77–69
Sat, Feb 28HMassachusetts166W 81–62
Tue, Feb 24HWestern Michigan173L 79–88
Fri, Feb 20AMiami OH108L 77–91

Georgia St.

Tue, Mar 3NLouisiana215L 75–84
Fri, Feb 27HOld Dominion218L 73–81
Tue, Feb 24HCoastal Carolina240L 71–76
Sat, Feb 21HJames Madison143L 65–80
Thu, Feb 19HGeorgia Southern307W 66–64