Model line
Kansas St. −15.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Kansas St. a 15.3-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Little Rock O | Stat | Kansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #773.8 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #24052.5 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #13917.1 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #31733.9 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #18535.2 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #1869.1 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #29556.5 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #26153.7 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #16633.7 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #21338.6 |
| Kansas St. O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8#7 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 53.3#89 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 17.4#228 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 29.2#229 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 26.9#352 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 11.0#301 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 57.7#61 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 52.4#152 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 36.4#43 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 71.0#236 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#147 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | BYU28 | L 91–105 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kansas8 | L 85–104 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | West Virginia51 | W 65–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | TCU50 | L 68–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colorado87 | L 70–79 |