Model line
Connecticut −7.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Connecticut 77%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Connecticut home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Connecticut a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kansas offense vs Connecticut defense
| Kansas O | Stat | Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#186 | Tempo | #29466.0 |
| 51.3#182 | eFG% | #845.9 |
| 15.4#98 | TOV% | #9618.0 |
| 29.3#225 | ORB% | #8028.3 |
| 32.2#255 | FT rate | #30840.6 |
| 8.2#70 | Block% | #915.0 |
| 52.7#170 | Assist% | #8549.0 |
| 51.0#212 | 2P% | #1345.9 |
| 34.6#142 | 3P% | #2030.5 |
| 76.9#35 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#259 | 3PA rate | #27336.6 |
Connecticut offense vs Kansas defense
| Connecticut O | Stat | Kansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#294 | Tempo | #18668.3 |
| 55.3#33 | eFG% | #245.1 |
| 16.7#174 | TOV% | #33913.9 |
| 36.1#24 | ORB% | #16330.1 |
| 29.9#313 | FT rate | #3027.7 |
| 9.6#196 | Block% | #715.3 |
| 65.1#7 | Assist% | #5347.3 |
| 57.4#26 | 2P% | #344.5 |
| 34.7#134 | 3P% | #2230.5 |
| 71.6#217 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#163 | 3PA rate | #10841.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kansas
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | St. John's25 | L 65–67 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Cal Baptist216 | W 68–60 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Houston4 | L 47–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | TCU50 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kansas St.96 | W 104–85 |
Connecticut
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Michigan24 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Illinois7 | W 71–62 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Duke1 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | UCLA18 | W 73–57 |
