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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Iowa · #129 · MVC · 0–0Kansas · #8 · B12 · 0–0Tue, Dec 1 · 8:00 PM ETESPN+Allen Fieldhouse · Lawrence, KS
Model line
Kansas −25.3
Win probability
Kansas >99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Kansas home
<1%Win probability>99%

The model makes Kansas a 25.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Iowa offense vs Kansas defense

Northern Iowa OStatKansas D
63.4#362Tempo#18668.3
53.8#74eFG%#245.1
14.4#39TOV%#33913.9
21.8#358ORB%#16330.1
25.6#362FT rate#3027.7
8.3#80Block%#715.3
56.6#77Assist%#5347.3
54.9#612P%#344.5
34.7#1393P%#2230.5
69.2#293FT%—
39.1#1893PA rate#10841.5

Kansas offense vs Northern Iowa defense

Kansas OStatNorthern Iowa D
68.3#186Tempo#36263.4
51.3#182eFG%#3347.5
15.4#98TOV%#9718.0
29.3#225ORB%#2526.5
32.2#255FT rate#5229.6
8.2#70Block%#1519.8
52.7#170Assist%#9249.2
51.0#2122P%#10750.2
34.6#1423P%#329.1
76.9#35FT%—
35.5#2593PA rate#9941.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Iowa

Fri, Mar 20NSt. John's25L 53–79
Sun, Mar 8NIllinois Chicago105W 84–69
Sat, Mar 7NBradley183W 73–69
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois St.116W 74–52
Thu, Mar 5NEvansville273W 68–59

Kansas

Sun, Mar 22NSt. John's25L 65–67
Fri, Mar 20NCal Baptist216W 68–60
Fri, Mar 13NHouston4L 47–69
Thu, Mar 12NTCU50W 78–73
Sat, Mar 7HKansas St.96W 104–85