Model line
Kansas −12.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kansas 90%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Kansas home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Kansas a 12.2-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Villanova offense vs Kansas defense
| Villanova O | Stat | Kansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #18668.3 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #245.1 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #33913.9 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #16330.1 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #3027.7 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #715.3 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #5347.3 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #344.5 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #2230.5 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #10841.5 |
Kansas offense vs Villanova defense
| Kansas O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#186 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 51.3#182 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 15.4#98 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 29.3#225 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 32.2#255 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 8.2#70 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 52.7#170 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 51.0#212 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 34.6#142 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 76.9#35 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#259 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
Kansas
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | St. John's25 | L 65–67 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Cal Baptist216 | W 68–60 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Houston4 | L 47–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | TCU50 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kansas St.96 | W 104–85 |
