Model line
Kansas −3.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kansas 65%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
65%Win probability35%
The model makes Kansas a 3.6-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kansas offense vs Kentucky defense
| Kansas O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#186 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 51.3#182 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 15.4#98 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 29.3#225 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 32.2#255 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 8.2#70 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 52.7#170 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 51.0#212 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 34.6#142 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 76.9#35 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#259 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Kansas defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Kansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #18668.3 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #245.1 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #33913.9 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #16330.1 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #3027.7 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #715.3 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #5347.3 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #344.5 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #2230.5 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #10841.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kansas
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | St. John's25 | L 65–67 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Cal Baptist216 | W 68–60 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Houston4 | L 47–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | TCU50 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kansas St.96 | W 104–85 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
