Model line
Iowa St. −40.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. >99%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Iowa St. a 40.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
