Model line
Iowa St. −28.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. >99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
>99%Win probability<1%
The model makes Iowa St. a 28.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa St. offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Missouri St. offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
