Model line
Iowa −2.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 59%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Iowa home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes Iowa a 2.2-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa St. offense vs Iowa defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
