Model line
Iowa St. −10.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 86%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Iowa St. a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Purdue offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Purdue defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
