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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

San Diego St. · #73 · P12 · 0–0Iowa St. · #6 · B12 · 0–0Tue, Nov 24 · 5:30 PM ETESPNUMichelob ULTRA Arena · Las Vegas, NV
Model line
Iowa St. −9.5
Win probability
Iowa St. 84%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
16%Win probability84%

The model makes Iowa St. a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

San Diego St. offense vs Iowa St. defense

San Diego St. OStatIowa St. D
69.2#136Tempo#17268.5
52.7#117eFG%#7849.4
17.2#220TOV%#422.3
29.5#220ORB%#7428.2
39.0#81FT rate#3327.9
6.2#4Block%#2118.7
54.4#130Assist%#23654.4
53.2#1222P%#12150.6
34.5#1503P%#6131.9
73.0#171FT%—
33.8#3013PA rate#8742.4

Iowa St. offense vs San Diego St. defense

Iowa St. OStatSan Diego St. D
68.5#172Tempo#13669.2
56.6#15eFG%#4248.2
15.0#61TOV%#1920.3
35.8#32ORB%#20931.1
34.1#204FT rate#27438.5
9.9#230Block%#815.3
58.6#48Assist%#32358.2
55.5#492P%#1846.2
38.9#63P%#16233.6
67.6#332FT%—
38.6#1993PA rate#1247.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

San Diego St.

Sat, Mar 14NUtah St.56L 62–73
Fri, Mar 13NNew Mexico66W 64–62
Thu, Mar 12NColorado St.83W 71–62
Fri, Mar 6HUNLV89W 89–86
Tue, Mar 3ABoise St.71L 77–86

Iowa St.

Fri, Mar 27NTennessee11L 62–76
Sun, Mar 22NKentucky20W 82–63
Fri, Mar 20NTennessee St.204W 108–74
Fri, Mar 13NArizona5L 80–82
Thu, Mar 12NTexas Tech12W 75–53