Model line
Iowa St. −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Iowa St. a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| San Diego St. O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#136 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 52.7#117 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 17.2#220 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 29.5#220 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 39.0#81 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 6.2#4 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 54.4#130 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 53.2#122 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 34.5#150 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 73.0#171 | FT% | — |
| 33.8#301 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
| Iowa St. O | Stat | San Diego St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #13669.2 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #4248.2 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #1920.3 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #20931.1 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #27438.5 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #815.3 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #32358.2 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #1846.2 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #16233.6 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #1247.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah St.56 | L 62–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | New Mexico66 | W 64–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Colorado St.83 | W 71–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UNLV89 | W 89–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Boise St.71 | L 77–86 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |