Model line
Iowa St. −39.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. >99%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Iowa St. a 39.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Niagara offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Niagara defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
