Model line
Iowa St. −39.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. >99%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Iowa St. a 39.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Southern O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Southern defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
