Model line
Iowa St. −37.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. >99%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Iowa St. a 37.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Miss offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Southern Miss O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#111 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 49.0#289 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 18.4#292 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 32.5#107 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 43.2#19 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 10.7#286 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 43.8#347 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 51.3#201 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 28.9#356 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 73.6#150 | FT% | — |
| 28.7#358 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Southern Miss defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Southern Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #11169.6 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #18051.4 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #10917.8 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #9528.8 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #34343.6 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #11510.5 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #4847.0 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #15151.1 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #22034.5 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #18739.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Miss
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Troy152 | L 70–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Appalachian St.234 | W 86–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Texas St.113 | W 81–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | James Madison143 | W 86–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | South Alabama244 | W 68–55 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
