Model line
Iowa St. −12.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 90%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Iowa St. a 12.1-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Memphis offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Memphis defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
