Model line
Colorado −13.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Colorado 93%
Projected tempo
73.0
possessions
Site
Colorado home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Colorado a 13.9-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs Colorado defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #9070.1 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #26052.9 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #25815.4 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #14829.8 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #21836.3 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #2068.8 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #14451.0 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #17251.6 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #33936.8 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #29435.8 |
Colorado offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Colorado O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#90 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 53.2#92 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 14.5#41 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 29.0#236 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 35.8#161 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 8.8#133 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 55.7#95 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 53.3#115 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 35.3#98 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 75.7#60 | FT% | — |
| 35.1#273 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
Colorado
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 86–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | L 83–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arizona5 | L 79–89 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Utah88 | W 92–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston4 | L 62–102 |
