Model line
Baylor −40.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Baylor >99%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Baylor home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Baylor a 40.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Baylor defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Baylor offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Baylor O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
