Model line
Baylor −13.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Baylor 92%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Baylor home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Baylor a 13.4-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Memphis offense vs Baylor defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Baylor offense vs Memphis defense
| Baylor O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
