Model line
Baylor −35.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Baylor >99%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Baylor home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Baylor a 35.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern St. offense vs Baylor defense
| Northwestern St. O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#329 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 48.6#301 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 18.3#288 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 26.1#320 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 40.1#58 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 9.6#200 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 50.7#225 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 48.0#310 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 33.2#217 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 74.0#136 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#299 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Baylor offense vs Northwestern St. defense
| Baylor O | Stat | Northwestern St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #32965.2 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #26953.0 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #16116.9 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #28532.6 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #22236.3 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #3226.7 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #16851.9 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #23452.9 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #28235.5 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #24037.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Nicholls St.287 | L 47–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 62–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 59–71 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Incarnate Word302 | W 54–49 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Houston Christian253 | W 71–53 |
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
