Model line
Arizona −40.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona >99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Arizona home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arizona a 40.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs Arizona defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
