Model line
Arizona −39.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona >99%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Arizona home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arizona a 39.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Illinois offense vs Arizona defense
| Northern Illinois O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#147 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 47.6#321 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 21.8#360 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 30.3#189 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 38.3#95 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 14.5#365 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 51.8#195 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 48.5#298 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 30.9#322 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 65.7#355 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#66 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Northern Illinois defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Northern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #14769.0 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #34255.6 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #20216.3 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #15930.0 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #26838.3 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #3525.3 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #22153.9 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #33556.3 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #31936.3 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #24537.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Illinois
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 87–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Akron100 | L 55–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Kent St.126 | L 76–102 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Ball St.220 | L 43–79 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Toledo144 | L 69–79 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
