Model line
Arizona −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 64%
Projected tempo
72.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Arizona a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas offense vs Arizona defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Arkansas defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
