Model line
St. John's −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. John's 68%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
St. John's home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes St. John's a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona offense vs St. John's defense
| Arizona O | Stat | St. John's D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #6770.7 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #2447.2 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #4819.1 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #15129.8 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #9731.5 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #4212.4 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #4746.9 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #3647.4 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #3831.1 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #34133.5 |
St. John's offense vs Arizona defense
| St. John's O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#67 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 51.1#191 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 14.6#47 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 35.9#29 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 41.8#34 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 9.5#191 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 57.9#58 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 51.8#177 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 33.3#212 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 72.6#182 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#290 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
St. John's
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Duke1 | L 75–80 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kansas8 | W 67–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Northern Iowa129 | W 79–53 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Connecticut3 | W 72–52 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | H | Seton Hall69 | W 78–68 |
