Model line
Arizona −38.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona >99%
Projected tempo
72.5
possessions
Site
Arizona home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arizona a 38.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Orleans offense vs Arizona defense
| New Orleans O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#110 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 49.6#260 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 20.5#353 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 35.6#35 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 46.4#2 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 9.7#211 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 52.5#181 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 50.6#230 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 31.8#288 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 74.3#114 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#304 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs New Orleans defense
| Arizona O | Stat | New Orleans D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #11069.6 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #6849.0 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #29814.9 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #32534.5 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #29539.5 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #12810.2 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #33760.3 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #7349.3 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #8632.4 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #15740.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Orleans
| No completed games yet. |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
