Model line
Arizona −12.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 91%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Arizona a 12.7-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Colorado St. offense vs Arizona defense
| Colorado St. O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#346 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 57.5#12 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 18.5#297 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 30.0#198 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 39.4#71 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 9.0#142 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 62.9#11 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 57.1#29 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 38.6#11 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 77.0#33 | FT% | — |
| 49.1#19 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Colorado St. defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Colorado St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #34664.4 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #26152.9 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #24915.5 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #12329.3 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #15534.2 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #3186.8 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #4346.6 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #28154.1 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #19634.2 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #7043.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Colorado St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 64–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Fresno St.180 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Boise St.71 | L 67–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | New Mexico66 | W 82–74 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
