Model line
Arizona −39.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona >99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Arizona home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arizona a 39.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs Arizona defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
