Model line
Arizona −31.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona >99%
Projected tempo
73.8
possessions
Site
Arizona home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arizona a 31.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs Arizona defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
