Model line
Arizona −3.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 65%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
65%Win probability35%
The model makes Arizona a 3.6-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona offense vs UCLA defense
| Arizona O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs Arizona defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
