Model line
LSU −10.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
LSU 87%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
LSU home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes LSU a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wake Forest offense vs LSU defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
LSU offense vs Wake Forest defense
| LSU O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
