Model line
Wake Forest −16.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wake Forest 95%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Wake Forest home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Wake Forest a 16.0-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Carolina offense vs Wake Forest defense
| Western Carolina O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#162 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 50.4#225 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 16.8#189 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 35.4#39 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 31.3#275 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 7.7#46 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 44.3#344 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 50.6#232 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 33.5#197 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 71.4#228 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#149 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Wake Forest offense vs Western Carolina defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | Western Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #16268.8 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #32854.9 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #32314.5 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #2326.3 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #25737.8 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #3047.3 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #7048.1 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #30754.8 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #33836.7 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #5143.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 67–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mercer227 | W 77–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Furman147 | W 86–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Mercer227 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | VMI344 | W 81–62 |
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
